EEC Markets-Rate hike expectations support the forint and zloty as central banks fight inflation
Band Anita Komuves
BUDAPEST, December 6 (Reuters) – Most central European currencies strengthened on Monday, supported by expectations of further interest rate hikes in Hungary and Poland later this week as the region’s central banks grapple with rising inflation .
The Hungarian forint EURHUF = gained 0.48% and traded at 363.32 per euro as markets expected a further hike in the one-week deposit rate on Thursday during the central bank’s weekly tender, said two FX traders in Budapest.
âMarkets are also anticipating further rate hikes this week in Hungary and Poland, pushing up CEE region currencies,â one trader said. “The overall mood is also a bit brighter.”
On Thursday, the forint hit a three-week high after the bank raised rates for the fifth time in less than three weeks to contain rising inflation.
Investors are also keeping an eye on key November inflation data for Hungary to be released on Wednesday. Headline inflation for November is expected at 7.3% per year, according to a Reuters poll.
The Polish zloty EURPLN = was 0.2% stronger and traded at 4.5880 per euro as markets awaited the central bank’s rate-setting meeting on Wednesday, where a Reuters survey of analysts expects prices to rise. rate of 50 basis points.
Last month, the Polish central bank surprised markets with a massive 75 basis point rise to 1.25%. Central Bank Governor Adam Glapinksi said last week that it was possible to raise interest rates, but not indefinitely.
“We would be surprised if the MPC chooses a rate hike of less than 50 basis points, especially in light of stubbornly high core inflation,” Citi wrote in a research note.
Czech crown EURCZK = added 0.17% and was trading at 25.380 against the common currency.
In the Czech Republic, markets lowered their rate hike expectations in late November after central bank governor Jiri Rusnok told Reuters he saw rate hikes closer to the standard 25-point move. based.
The head of the CNB’s monetary department, Petr Kral, said in an interview published on Monday that the market price level on the new Czech interest rate hikes was in line with the central bank’s forecast.
Stocks in the region have strengthened, with Bucharest .BETI adding 0.73%. Prague .PX was 0.63% higher, while Warsaw .WIG20 reinforced by 0.7%.
Budapest .BUX led gains adding 0.79%. Hungary’s OTP bank OTPB.BU was 1.41% higher at 09:27 GMT after announcing it had signed an agreement to buy Albanian bank Alpha.
CEEC MARKETS
INSTANTANEOUS
At 1020 CET
COINS
Latest
Previous
Daily
Switch
offer
close
hum
in 2021
EURCZK =
czech crown
EURCZK =
25.3800
25.4230
+ 0.17%
+ 3.35%
EURHUF =
Hungarian forint
EURHUF =
363.3200
365.0500
+ 0.48%
-0.17%
EURPLN =
Polish zloty
EURPLN =
4.5880
4.5973
+ 0.20%
-0.63%
EURRON =
leu in Romanian
EURRON =
4.9491
4.9485
-0.01%
-1.70%
EURHRK =
Croatian Kuna
EURHRK =
7.5250
7.5265
+ 0.02%
+ 0.30%
EURRSD =
Serbian dinar
EURRSD =
117.4800
117.5800
+ 0.09%
+ 0.08%
Note: daily change
calculated from
1800 CET
Latest
Previous
Daily
Switch
close
cash
in 2021
.PX
Prague
.PX
1371.40
1362.7900
+ 0.63%
+ 33.52%
.BUX
Budapest
.BUX
51307.69
50904.91
+ 0.79%
+ 21.85%
.WIG20
Warsaw
.WIG20
2194.93
2179.71
+ 0.70%
+ 10.63%
.BETI
Bucharest
.BETI
12469.37
12379.50
+ 0.73%
+ 27.17%
.SBITOP
Ljubljana
.SBITOP
1221.41
1221.16
+ 0.02%
+ 35.58%
.CRBEX
Zagreb
.CRBEX
1993.20
1993.37
-0.01%
+ 14.60%
.BELEX15
Belgrade
.BELEX15
831.26
833.64
-0.29%
+ 11.04%
.SOFIX
Sofia
.SOFIX
620.27
624.54
-0.68%
+ 38.60%
Yield
Yield
Broadcast
Daily
(offer)
cash
against the Bund
switch
Czech Republic
broadcast
CZ2YT = RR
2 years
CZ2YT = RR
2.8770
0.0030
+ 361bps
-1bps
CZ5YT = RR
5 years
CZ5YT = RR
2.7050
0.0060
+ 333bps
+ 0bps
CZ10YT = RR
10 years
CZ10YT = RR
2.5850
0.0000
+ 296bps
+ 0bps
Poland
PL2YT = RR
2 years
PL2YT = RR
3.0020
-0.0070
+ 373bps
-2bps
PL5YT = RR
5 years
PL5YT = RR
3.4380
0.1060
+ 406bps
+ 10bps
PL10YT = RR
10 years
PL10YT = RR
3.2920
0.0700
+ 367bps
+ 7bps
CHEEKY
3×6
6×9
9×12
3M Interbank
Czech Republic
CZKFRAPRIBOUR =
3.95
3.95
3.88
3.20
Hungary
HUFFRABUBOR =
4.50
4.53
4.50
3.47
Poland
PLNFRAWIBOR =
3.24
3.42
3.41
2.21
Note: quotes from FRA
are for the asking prices
*************************************************** ****** ************
(Additional reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague; Editing by Amy Caren Daniel)
((komuves.anita@thomsonreuters.com) (+ 36 70 795 8815))
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.